Finally, we have made it through the first three of the playoffs to whittle the list to 30. Now if you go through the scenarios for the Top 5, it seems like a no brainer. But if you do the math, (albeit almost a degree in calculus would help), anyone can win it, but there has to be plenty of hic-cups. Bill Haas proved that in 2011 when he came in ranked 25th and grabbed it in a playoff.
Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed, Adam Scott, Jason Day and Paul Casey could wrap it up simply with a win, or, depending on how things shake out with a little help from their friends.
For Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth it gets a little more dicey, (there’s not enough space on the website for me to write all the possibilities and pretty much would take me from now until the end of the tournament).
What’s interesting is the last three years, the golfer coming in ranked at #2 has taken the prize.
To make things more dramatic, the powers that be decided to flip the 9’s.
Instead of wrapping with a 235 yard Par 3, it’s now a 600 yard Par 5.
To be honest, I don’t know if it will create more drama since I saw quite a few guys miss what looked like a dime for a green on that finishing Par 3.
The way it will create more drama is to give both the long and short hitters a shot with an eagle or birdie to wrap and perhaps swing the board. My argument is somebody like Dustin Johnson can just bomb it and walk away with eagle each of the four days, although for the shorter hitters the water will come into play.
I know I’m going to raise eyebrows for this, but for guys that are this good, I don’t think East Lake is that tough of a track.
I’ve actually had a chance to play it, of course depending on the box you hit from, it can be rather lengthy, but it’s pretty much wide open so you can spray it some and still score. They did add a few more bunkers but for the most part the most difficult thing is an uneven stance/lie with undulations that bump up the slope rating, (142) which I admit is pretty high
Come Sunday, I don’t think it will be a surprise, the winner will come from the top 5 for the $10 million dollar prize.