It’s Week 10 in the NFL and you’ve been sinking to the bottom of your office pool instead of safely navigating the waters of Vegas lines and crazy upsets. You’re not winning because you’re not prepping properly.

Getting tossed in the pool without learning to swim is so 1950s. Let us help you:

Locks (No Floaties Required)

Detroit at Green Bay (-13) — The Packers don’t lose at home to the Vikings. That prediction is as dead-on accurate as expecting a Vin Diesel flick to include a car jumping through an explosion with all smiles involved. But 13 points is a huge line to overcome. Take the Lions and the points. [Pick: Detroit +13]

Jacksonville at Baltimore (-5.5) — Not much has gone right for either team in 2015, but the Jaguars are the better of the bad teams. Baltimore hasn’t covered all season at home, which makes picking Jacksonville Lionel Richie “Easy.” Yeah, I know he didn’t write that Commodores hit about football, but I still sing it while thinking of sure bets like this. [Pick: Jacksonville +5.5]

Cleveland at Pittsburgh (-4.5) — The city of Cleveland has been the butt of just about every sports joke created on the planet at some point in time. Thinking the Browns can stay within four and a half points of the Steelers is also funny. [Pick: Pittsburgh -4.5]

New Orleans at Washington (o/u 50.5) — The Redskins have scored 19 or more points in six of their last seven games. The Saints typically blow past 30 points by breakfast. The scoreboard operator will get a workout Sunday. [Pick: Over 50.5]

On Solid Ground

Buffalo at New York Jets (-2.5) — Buffalo’s head coach, Rex Ryan, endured a lot of losing while he was coaching the Jets from 2009-2014. That should make it simple for him to draw a blueprint for Buffalo’s success Sunday in the Meadowlands. [Pick: Buffalo + 2.5]

Chicago at St. Louis (-7.5) — Both teams are coming off losses which means they’ll be hungry. But the Bears don’t have the fire power available the Rams do. Think Kobayashi in the mid-to-late 2000s versus any hot dog. [Pick: St. Louis -7.5]

Arizona at Seattle (o/u 44.5) — It’s usually tough to play in Seattle, ask visiting teams over the past few seasons or any rock band from the 90s that didn’t scream grunge. But the Cardinals have the top-ranked offense in the NFL and the Seahawks aren’t having their normally stout defensive season. [Pick: Over 44.5]


Miami at Philadelphia (-7) — The Dolphins have already had two head coaches this season and raise your hand if you believe Eagles front man Chip Kelly has any job security right now … crickets. Miami has more talent, but Philadelphia is the better team, if that makes any sense. But seven points for either of these teams is a lot. [Pick: Miami +7]

Treacherous Waters

New Orleans at Washington (Even) — It looks appealing to jump all over this Saints team that’s won three of four and only dropped the fourth in overtime. Be careful though, Kirk Cousins is sneaky good. [Pick: Washington]

Tampa Bay at Dallas (o/u 43.5) — You may salivate at this line considering the Bucs have scored 30 or more points in two of the last four weeks and 20 or more in three. However, Dallas has zero weapons on offense and Jameis Winston is still prone to rookie mistakes at inopportune times. [Pick: Under 43.5]


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