The Dred vs the Spread Week 6 (Momentum Week)
Momentum! Momentum! Momentum! After last week’s 3-1 record, 2-1 on “Fa Sho” picks and 1-0 in the wildcard pick, you can feel the momentum shift. The lone blemish last week came in the no defense game as the Broncos and Cowboys got into to a good ole gun slinging event. Between the two teams there was a total of one punt in the entire game. This week the Broncos will have the largest spread in NFL history as they face the Jaguars in Denver giving the Jags an astounding 28 points. We are going to get to that game later as the week 6 wildcard special, but let us go ahead and get to week 6 “Fa Sho” picks, continuing this wave of success.
Week 6 “Fa Show” Picks
This week there are only two quality “Fa Sho” picks as most of the matchups are relatively close, meaning take who you believe is going to win. Remember, this is for entertainment purposes only but it is to be correct amongst friends. With the first “fa sho” pick we go to Arrowhead Stadium for a matchup between the seemingly improved Raiders versus the Chiefs. Last week Terrelle Pryor played an outstanding game against the Chargers going 18 of 23 for 252 total yards and two passing touchdowns. The Chiefs are off to their best start since 2003 when they started the season 9-0 behind Trent Green and Priest Holmes as they operated one of the most prolific offenses in recent memory. This Chiefs team is not as dominant on the offense as there is no Willie Roaf or Will Shields on their offensive line. Nonetheless, this Chiefs team have much more talent on defense with four pro-bowlers from a year ago. The Chiefs are currently ranked number 2 in the league in total defense and number 2 in the league with 15 take aways. Fortunately for the Raiders, they do not turn the ball over much as they have lost 6 possessions due to turnovers this season. The Chiefs have only turned it over 5 times. For that reason you can expect the game to be relatively close. The Raiders will be getting Darren McFadden back in the mix so the ground game should be efficient. Arrowhead is a tough place to get a win for a road team but 9 points may be too much. Be Smart. Take the Raiders with the 9 points.
For the second “fa sho” pick this week, we look to to a team that was picked, successfully, last week by yours truly to win versus the G-Men. This week the Eagles go into Raymond James Stadium to face the 0-4 Buccaneers in an attempt to reach .500 for the season. The Eagles may be without the services of Michael Vick who pulled a hamstring in the win versus the Giants in week 5 but his replacement, Nick Foles, is very capable of getting the job done. The Buccaneers are in shambles as the released Josh Freeman last week and are being led by rookie third round pick, Mike Glennon who in one game versus the Cardinals had a passer rating of 55.7 as he tossed the ball for 193 yards with a touchdown and 2 picks in a 13-10 loss. The Bucs are also dealing with a staph infection that could cause the game to be cancelled after a third player was diagnosed with an MRSA infection, though it is expected to be played. Everything is going south for the Buccaneers. The Bucs do have a strong defense ranked 4th in the NFL as opposed to the Eagles 29th ranked defense. The problem is the Eagles offense is ranked 6th as opposed to the Bucs being last in the league in total offense. Expect the Eagles to win and in doing so, expect them to win by more than 3 points. Take the Eagles (-3) Sunday.
Week 6 Wildcard Special
Finally we arrive to the wildcard special where it is a must to touch on the largest spread in NFL history. It seems as if 26 points is too much to give any team of grown men, but let us take a look back at some of the recent spreads in Jaguar games. Just last week the Rams gave the Jags 13 points and the covered. The week prior to that the Colts gave the Rams 12. The Colts covered. The Seahawks gave the Jaguars 20 and of course, they covered. In fact, the Jaguars are 0-5 versus the spread this season, the same as their record. We understand Peyton Manning and crew have the ability to put up 45 plus on the Jags and with Champ Bailey making his season debut, we understand the Jags will not score often or even often enough. Based on all the facts, take the Broncos (-26) this weekend.
Once again, the “fa sho” picks are the Raiders (+9), the Eagles (-3) and for the wildcard special, the Broncos (-26). Til next time, thank you and stay blessed. Follow me on twitter @nottydred for more information, stats and sports entertainment from the Cadre.