Here we go again! Another week for NFL football, another week for lock picks….versus THE SPREAD. Last week was tough so I only gave you 2 lock picks (insert link) to go along with a wild card pick. My record was 1-1 on the lock picks and I nailed the wild card, bringing my record this year of 2-3 on lock picks and 1-1 on wild card picks. This seems to be a much better (meaning easier) week in the NFL so let us get to this. Again, this is for entertainment purposes only.
Last week I delivered taking the Titans (+9) against the Texans and I also came through on the Broncos (-6) beating the Giants. The one loss came in a blowout as Washington, behind what seems to be a rusty RG3, took a churning in Green Bay. RG3 continues his first half woes and is now 11for 24, 160 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 picks in the first half of games this season.
Well, that was last week. This week there are 2 good looking lock picks. First, there are the Browns traveling north to the gopher state to play the Vikings. Seeing the starting quarterback Brandon Weeden is out, former 1st round pick Trent Richardson has been dealt to the Colts and the Browns having the “throwing in the towel early” image, it’s safe to give them 6.5 points while taking AP & company in a route…..possibly a shut out.
Lock pick número duece is poised to be a good ole fashion butt whooping in an event that appears to be a mismatch in every aspect of the game from defense to offense, to the amount of talent on each team, to the venue the thrashing is to be held in. Last week the Seahawks went déjà vu against the 49ers in Seattle winning 29-3 while their week 3 opponent, the Jaguars, the other team that plays out of Jacksonville, lost by 10 points to the Raiders in Oakland. Even though the Seahawks went to work on the 49ers their offense was less than impressive accumulating only 118 passing yards while giving up 4 sacks and turning the ball over twice. The Seahawks were not efficient on 3rd downs converting on just 5 of the 16 opportunities. The Jaguars, on the other hand, have some things to build off in a loss to the Raiders. Yes, MJD went down with an ankle injury but Chad Henne played well going 25 for 38 with 241 passing yards, 1 touchdown to no picks. The Jags defense were able to force 3 fumbles, allowing only 114 passing yards though they did give up 226 rushing yards. It may be easy to take the Seahawks (-19.5) versus the Jags, but remember, the players and coaches on the Jaguars roster are professionals and get paid too. These are 2 teams that will run more than they pass which means the click will run out before the Jags are down 20. Take the Jags with the 19.5.
This week’s wild card pick is the Giants (-1) versus the Panthers. This is pretty much a pick game. We can leave all the stats out of the equation and simply look at the teams and the quarterbacks in this game. One of these teams will fall to 0-3 and history says it will most likely be the Panthers. One of these quarterbacks just does not win close games and it’s not the one with rings. Take the G-Men minus the 1 point to send the Panthers to 0-3 at home.
So the locks are the Vikings (-6.5) versus the Browns, the Jags (+19.5) versus the Seahawks and the wild card is the Giants (-1) versus the Panthers. Next week the Dred should be above .500 on the season versus the spread. Until then, thank you and stay blessed.
Follow me on twitter @nottydred